Counties · Rural rest
Fulton County
Fulton has 10,150 registered voters as of Oct 19, 2026, 0.1% of the state's roll. Republicans lead by 6,012, up from 5,833 at the November 2024 election. The scenario model groups it with 40 other counties as “Rural rest.”
Registered now
10,150
All parties, Oct 19, 2026
Republican lead
6,012
D 14.5% · R 73.8% of the roll
Since Nov 2024
+268
+2.7% from 9,882
Inactive
8.1%
9,329 active, 821 inactive
Registration by party
Since Nov 2024 the Republican share here fell from 74.2% to 73.8% and the Democratic share fell from 15.2% to 14.5%.
Now (Oct 19, 2026)
- Democrats 14.5%
- Republicans 73.8%
- Other and no party 11.7%
May 2026 primary
- Democrats 14.6%
- Republicans 74.0%
- Other and no party 11.4%
Nov 2024 election
- Democrats 15.2%
- Republicans 74.2%
- Other and no party 10.6%
| When | Dem | Rep | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now (Oct 19, 2026) | 1,475 | 7,487 | 1,188 | 10,150 |
| May 2026 primary | 1,475 | 7,487 | 1,157 | 10,119 |
| Nov 2024 election | 1,501 | 7,334 | 1,047 | 9,882 |
Republicans lead by 6,012, the same as at the May primary.
Turnout, 2014–2024
In 2022, 68.9% of Fulton's registered voters cast a governor vote, 8.4 points above the state. In 2024 it was 82.8%, 6.1 points above the state.
- Fulton
- Statewide
Results by year
Mastriano carried Fulton by 63.0 points in 2022, and Trump by 72.6 in 2024. Republicans carried it in all 6 elections.
| Election | Democrat | Votes | Republican | Votes | Other | Margin | Registered | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 governor | Wolf | 1,111 (30%) | Corbett | 2,650 (70%) | 0 | Corbett +40.9 | 9,036 | 41.6% |
| 2016 president | Clinton | 912 (13%) | Trump | 5,694 (84%) | 165 | Trump +70.6 | 9,187 | 73.7% |
| 2018 governor | Wolf | 1,037 (20%) | Wagner | 4,202 (79%) | 57 | Wagner +59.8 | 9,100 | 58.2% |
| 2020 president | Biden | 1,085 (14%) | Trump | 6,824 (86%) | 68 | Trump +71.9 | 9,836 | 81.1% |
| 2022 governor | Shapiro | 1,128 (18%) | Mastriano | 5,092 (81%) | 67 | Mastriano +63.0 | 9,129 | 68.9% |
| 2024 president | Harris | 1,102 (13%) | Trump | 7,039 (86%) | 36 | Trump +72.6 | 9,882 | 82.8% |
What Garrity needs here
On the smallest uniform path to a statewide tie, Garrity needs 85.0% of the ballot in Fulton. That is 4.0 points more than Mastriano won in 2022, and 1.1 points below Trump's 2024 share.
Mastriano 2022
81.0%
Wagner 2018 79.3% · Corbett 2014 70.5%
Trump 2024
86.1%
Share of the presidential ballot
Tie-path target
85.0%
85.9% of the two-party vote
Gain over Mastriano
+4.0 pts
Share of the ballot
Net votes needed
+554
Over a 2022 replay, 0.1% of the statewide gap
In 2022 Shapiro lost Fulton by 3,964 votes. At the target, on about 6,990 ballots at 2022 turnout on today's roll, Garrity would carry the county by 4,961 votes. That is 554 net votes better for her than a 2022 replay on the same roll.
How turnout is measured
Turnout is votes in the top race divided by registered voters. The top race is governor in 2014, 2018 and 2022 and president in 2016, 2020 and 2024. The state's returns files have no total-ballots count, so this undercounts by the roughly 1% who skip the top race.
The state's own 2024 count of people who voted in Fulton is 8,231, against 8,177 presidential votes.
A turnout rate can rise because the roll shrank, not because more people voted. That did not happen to a large degree here: no four-year span saw the roll fall 5% or more while votes held within 3%. Warren is the clearest case statewide: 20,650 presidential votes in 2020 and 20,723 in 2024 on a roll that fell from 31,431 to 26,871.