Counties · Philadelphia
Philadelphia County
Philadelphia has 1,102,489 registered voters as of Oct 19, 2026, 12.2% of the state's roll. Democrats lead by 654,901, down from 672,385 at the November 2024 election. The scenario model treats Philadelphia as its own region.
Registered now
1,102,489
All parties, Oct 19, 2026
Democratic lead
654,901
D 71.3% · R 11.9% of the roll
Since Nov 2024
−14,806
−1.3% from 1,117,295
Inactive
16.0%
925,680 active, 176,809 inactive
Registration by party
Since Nov 2024 the Republican share here fell from 12.2% to 11.9% and the Democratic share fell from 72.4% to 71.3%.
Now (Oct 19, 2026)
- Democrats 71.3%
- Republicans 11.9%
- Other and no party 16.8%
May 2026 primary
- Democrats 71.7%
- Republicans 12.2%
- Other and no party 16.2%
Nov 2024 election
- Democrats 72.4%
- Republicans 12.2%
- Other and no party 15.5%
| When | Dem | Rep | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now (Oct 19, 2026) | 786,337 | 131,436 | 184,716 | 1,102,489 |
| May 2026 primary | 774,386 | 131,455 | 174,903 | 1,080,744 |
| Nov 2024 election | 808,522 | 136,137 | 172,636 | 1,117,295 |
Democrats lead by 654,901, up from 642,931 at the May primary.
Turnout, 2014–2024
In 2022, 46.5% of Philadelphia's registered voters cast a governor vote, 14.0 points below the state. In 2024 it was 64.3%, 12.3 points below the state.
- Philadelphia
- Statewide
Results by year
Shapiro carried Philadelphia by 72.6 points in 2022, and Harris by 58.7 in 2024. Democrats carried it in all 6 elections.
| Election | Democrat | Votes | Republican | Votes | Other | Margin | Registered | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 governor | Wolf | 333,539 (88%) | Corbett | 45,268 (12%) | 0 | Wolf +76.1 | 1,036,943 | 36.5% |
| 2016 president | Clinton | 584,025 (83%) | Trump | 108,748 (15%) | 14,858 | Clinton +67.2 | 1,102,560 | 64.2% |
| 2018 governor | Wolf | 484,124 (87%) | Wagner | 64,514 (12%) | 5,537 | Wolf +75.7 | 1,064,129 | 52.1% |
| 2020 president | Biden | 601,779 (81%) | Trump | 132,582 (18%) | 4,840 | Biden +63.5 | 1,129,283 | 65.5% |
| 2022 governor | Shapiro | 426,885 (86%) | Mastriano | 65,293 (13%) | 6,082 | Shapiro +72.6 | 1,072,128 | 46.5% |
| 2024 president | Harris | 566,394 (79%) | Trump | 144,044 (20%) | 8,534 | Harris +58.7 | 1,117,295 | 64.3% |
What Garrity needs here
On the smallest uniform path to a statewide tie, Garrity needs 19.1% of the ballot in Philadelphia. That is 6.0 points more than Mastriano won in 2022, and 0.9 points below Trump's 2024 share.
Mastriano 2022
13.1%
Wagner 2018 11.6% · Corbett 2014 12.0%
Trump 2024
20.0%
Share of the presidential ballot
Tie-path target
19.1%
19.3% of the two-party vote
Gain over Mastriano
+6.0 pts
Share of the ballot
Net votes needed
+61,747
Over a 2022 replay, 7.7% of the statewide gap
In 2022 Shapiro won Philadelphia by 361,592 votes. At the target, on about 512,370 ballots at 2022 turnout on today's roll, Garrity would still lose the county by 310,084 votes. That is 61,747 net votes better for her than a 2022 replay on the same roll.
How turnout is measured
Turnout is votes in the top race divided by registered voters. The top race is governor in 2014, 2018 and 2022 and president in 2016, 2020 and 2024. The state's returns files have no total-ballots count, so this undercounts by the roughly 1% who skip the top race.
The state's own 2024 count of people who voted in Philadelphia is 727,910, against 718,972 presidential votes.
A turnout rate can rise because the roll shrank, not because more people voted. That did not happen to a large degree here: no four-year span saw the roll fall 5% or more while votes held within 3%. Warren is the clearest case statewide: 20,650 presidential votes in 2020 and 20,723 in 2024 on a roll that fell from 31,431 to 26,871.