Counties · Rural rest
Indiana County
Indiana has 49,241 registered voters as of Oct 19, 2026, 0.5% of the state's roll. Republicans lead by 14,945, up from 14,132 at the November 2024 election. The scenario model groups it with 40 other counties as “Rural rest.”
Registered now
49,241
All parties, Oct 19, 2026
Republican lead
14,945
D 28.3% · R 58.6% of the roll
Since Nov 2024
−2,503
−4.8% from 51,744
Inactive
4.9%
46,837 active, 2,404 inactive
Registration by party
Since Nov 2024 the Republican share here rose from 57.1% to 58.6% and the Democratic share fell from 29.8% to 28.3%.
Now (Oct 19, 2026)
- Democrats 28.3%
- Republicans 58.6%
- Other and no party 13.1%
May 2026 primary
- Democrats 28.4%
- Republicans 58.7%
- Other and no party 12.8%
Nov 2024 election
- Democrats 29.8%
- Republicans 57.1%
- Other and no party 13.1%
| When | Dem | Rep | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now (Oct 19, 2026) | 13,933 | 28,878 | 6,430 | 49,241 |
| May 2026 primary | 13,988 | 28,894 | 6,300 | 49,182 |
| Nov 2024 election | 15,409 | 29,541 | 6,794 | 51,744 |
Republicans lead by 14,945, up from 14,906 at the May primary.
Turnout, 2014–2024
In 2022, 66.4% of Indiana's registered voters cast a governor vote, 6.0 points above the state. In 2024 it was 81.6%, 5.0 points above the state.
- Indiana
- Statewide
Results by year
Mastriano carried Indiana by 18.8 points in 2022, and Trump by 39.1 in 2024. Republicans carried it in all 6 elections.
| Election | Democrat | Votes | Republican | Votes | Other | Margin | Registered | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 governor | Wolf | 10,223 (46%) | Corbett | 12,199 (54%) | 0 | Corbett +8.8 | 47,761 | 47.0% |
| 2016 president | Clinton | 11,528 (31%) | Trump | 24,888 (66%) | 1,354 | Trump +35.4 | 51,853 | 72.8% |
| 2018 governor | Wolf | 12,715 (43%) | Wagner | 16,179 (55%) | 502 | Wagner +11.8 | 49,418 | 59.5% |
| 2020 president | Biden | 12,634 (31%) | Trump | 28,089 (68%) | 475 | Trump +37.5 | 51,797 | 79.5% |
| 2022 governor | Shapiro | 13,032 (40%) | Mastriano | 19,179 (59%) | 531 | Mastriano +18.8 | 49,316 | 66.4% |
| 2024 president | Harris | 12,697 (30%) | Trump | 29,215 (69%) | 317 | Trump +39.1 | 51,744 | 81.6% |
What Garrity needs here
On the smallest uniform path to a statewide tie, Garrity needs 67.3% of the ballot in Indiana. That is 8.7 points more than Mastriano won in 2022, and 1.9 points below Trump's 2024 share.
Mastriano 2022
58.6%
Wagner 2018 55.0% · Corbett 2014 54.4%
Trump 2024
69.2%
Share of the presidential ballot
Tie-path target
67.3%
68.4% of the two-party vote
Gain over Mastriano
+8.7 pts
Share of the ballot
Net votes needed
+5,690
Over a 2022 replay, 0.7% of the statewide gap
In 2022 Shapiro lost Indiana by 6,147 votes. At the target, on about 32,692 ballots at 2022 turnout on today's roll, Garrity would carry the county by 11,827 votes. That is 5,690 net votes better for her than a 2022 replay on the same roll.
How turnout is measured
Turnout is votes in the top race divided by registered voters. The top race is governor in 2014, 2018 and 2022 and president in 2016, 2020 and 2024. The state's returns files have no total-ballots count, so this undercounts by the roughly 1% who skip the top race.
The state's own 2024 count of people who voted in Indiana is 42,271, against 42,229 presidential votes.
A turnout rate can rise because the roll shrank, not because more people voted. That did not happen to a large degree here: no four-year span saw the roll fall 5% or more while votes held within 3%. Warren is the clearest case statewide: 20,650 presidential votes in 2020 and 20,723 in 2024 on a roll that fell from 31,431 to 26,871.