Counties · Lehigh Valley & Berks
Lehigh County
Lehigh has 255,921 registered voters as of Oct 19, 2026, 2.8% of the state's roll. Democrats lead by 23,318, down from 23,667 at the November 2024 election. The scenario model groups it with 3 other counties as “Lehigh Valley & Berks.”
Registered now
255,921
All parties, Oct 19, 2026
Democratic lead
23,318
D 44.1% · R 35.0% of the roll
Since Nov 2024
−2,799
−1.1% from 258,720
Inactive
10.2%
229,742 active, 26,179 inactive
Registration by party
Since Nov 2024 the Republican share here fell from 35.4% to 35.0% and the Democratic share fell from 44.6% to 44.1%.
Now (Oct 19, 2026)
- Democrats 44.1%
- Republicans 35.0%
- Other and no party 20.9%
May 2026 primary
- Democrats 43.8%
- Republicans 35.5%
- Other and no party 20.7%
Nov 2024 election
- Democrats 44.6%
- Republicans 35.4%
- Other and no party 20.0%
| When | Dem | Rep | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now (Oct 19, 2026) | 112,849 | 89,531 | 53,541 | 255,921 |
| May 2026 primary | 110,984 | 89,784 | 52,343 | 253,111 |
| Nov 2024 election | 115,281 | 91,614 | 51,825 | 258,720 |
Democrats lead by 23,318, up from 21,200 at the May primary.
Turnout, 2014–2024
In 2022, 55.5% of Lehigh's registered voters cast a governor vote, 5.0 points below the state. In 2024 it was 73.4%, 3.3 points below the state.
- Lehigh
- Statewide
Results by year
Shapiro carried Lehigh by 19.4 points in 2022, and Harris by 2.7 in 2024. Democrats carried it in all 6 elections.
| Election | Democrat | Votes | Republican | Votes | Other | Margin | Registered | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 governor | Wolf | 44,658 (55%) | Corbett | 36,894 (45%) | 0 | Wolf +9.5 | 219,898 | 37.1% |
| 2016 president | Clinton | 81,324 (51%) | Trump | 73,690 (46%) | 5,979 | Clinton +4.7 | 236,081 | 68.2% |
| 2018 governor | Wolf | 77,248 (60%) | Wagner | 49,071 (38%) | 2,287 | Wolf +21.9 | 234,133 | 54.9% |
| 2020 president | Biden | 98,288 (53%) | Trump | 84,259 (46%) | 2,166 | Biden +7.6 | 249,387 | 74.1% |
| 2022 governor | Shapiro | 79,991 (59%) | Mastriano | 53,468 (39%) | 2,875 | Shapiro +19.4 | 245,791 | 55.5% |
| 2024 president | Harris | 96,317 (51%) | Trump | 91,207 (48%) | 2,286 | Harris +2.7 | 258,720 | 73.4% |
What Garrity needs here
On the smallest uniform path to a statewide tie, Garrity needs 46.5% of the ballot in Lehigh. That is 7.3 points more than Mastriano won in 2022, and 1.6 points below Trump's 2024 share.
Mastriano 2022
39.2%
Wagner 2018 38.2% · Corbett 2014 45.2%
Trump 2024
48.1%
Share of the presidential ballot
Tie-path target
46.5%
47.5% of the two-party vote
Gain over Mastriano
+7.3 pts
Share of the ballot
Net votes needed
+20,739
Over a 2022 replay, 2.6% of the statewide gap
In 2022 Shapiro won Lehigh by 26,523 votes. At the target, on about 141,953 ballots at 2022 turnout on today's roll, Garrity would still lose the county by 6,877 votes. That is 20,739 net votes better for her than a 2022 replay on the same roll.
How turnout is measured
Turnout is votes in the top race divided by registered voters. The top race is governor in 2014, 2018 and 2022 and president in 2016, 2020 and 2024. The state's returns files have no total-ballots count, so this undercounts by the roughly 1% who skip the top race.
The state's own 2024 count of people who voted in Lehigh is 191,044, against 189,810 presidential votes.
A turnout rate can rise because the roll shrank, not because more people voted. That did not happen to a large degree here: no four-year span saw the roll fall 5% or more while votes held within 3%. Warren is the clearest case statewide: 20,650 presidential votes in 2020 and 20,723 in 2024 on a roll that fell from 31,431 to 26,871.